Humans have always been obsessed with predicting the future. By knowing what’s coming next, we’re better able to plan our actions, whether that’s saving more grain for a harsh winter, or knowing it’s a good idea to invest in a commodity because the price will go up in the future. The correct prediction guarantees success—or survival.
There’s just one problem: We’re terrible at predicting the future. Blame psychology, evolution, or the complexity of the data, but the truth is that we mostly get in our own way.Is it possible to get better at prediction? Or, could we create systems to do it for us? Think you know what’s coming next?
Our predictive skills may not be our greatest assets as humans, but they’re at least adequate. “Good enough is good enough.”
The best way to predict the future is to create it.